Who leads the polls nationally?
Polls & Trackers
Updated November 4, 2024 at 6:20 PM
Page no longer updated as of 11/5/24. Donald Trump (R) won the national popular vote.
Harris leads nationally in the 2024 race for the White House.
Harris
Trump
Third Party
Undecided
Current averages
Today's polling average for this race.
Harris
48.2%Trump
46.8%Third Party
2.3%Undecided
2.7%Nowcast
Based on 1,000,000 simulations of the election if it were held today. To see the chances of winning the popular vote, view our Presidential forecast.
Est. Popular Vote (polls-only)
Harris
49.5%Trump
48.1%Third Party
2.4%Latest polls
The 10 most recent polls in the average, with their adjusted results.
| From | To | Rating | LRAV | Sample | Harris | Trump | Third Party | Undecided | Weight | Adj Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024/11/03 | 2024/11/04 | A | L | 2703 | 48% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0.96 | R 1.1% |
| 2024/10/31 | 2024/11/03 | B/C | L | 886 | 48% | 48% | 2% | 2% | 0.78 | EVEN |
| 2024/11/01 | 2024/11/03 | B/C | R | 1115 | 48% | 47% | 2% | 3% | 0.73 | D 0.9% |
| 2024/11/01 | 2024/11/03 | B- | L | 973 | 50% | 48% | 2% | 0% | 0.79 | D 1.6% |
| 2024/11/01 | 2024/11/03 | A/B | L | 1411 | 48% | 49% | 2% | 1% | 0.88 | R 0.4% |
| 2024/11/02 | 2024/11/03 | B/C | L | 1005 | 48% | 44% | 3% | 4% | 0.80 | D 3.0% |
| 2024/11/02 | 2024/11/03 | B- | L | 1003 | 48% | 46% | 2% | 4% | 0.81 | D 1.6% |
| 2024/11/01 | 2024/11/02 | A | L | 2463 | 47% | 49% | 2% | 2% | 0.92 | R 1.7% |
| 2024/10/28 | 2024/11/02 | F | L | 1000 | 48% | 49% | 2% | 0% | 0.67 | R 0.7% |
| 2024/10/30 | 2024/11/02 | A- | L | 1000 | 49% | 49% | 1% | 0% | 0.87 | D 0.2% |