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Election Models (2020 Presidential)
Methodology (How This Works)
| State: |
Money Raised: |
Recent History: |
2016: |
Expert Forecast: |
Polls: |
Congress: |
Forecast: |
Biden Electoral Votes: |
Trump Electoral Votes: |
Winner: |
Correct: |
| AK |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
3 |
Trump |
Yes |
| AL |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
9 |
Trump |
Yes |
| AR |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
6 |
Trump |
Yes |
| AZ |
R |
R |
R |
D |
D |
D |
Toss Up |
|
|
Biden |
Yes |
| CA |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
55 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| CO |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
N |
Safe Biden |
9 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| CT |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
7 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| DC |
N |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Safe Biden |
3 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| DE |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
3 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| FL |
R |
R |
R |
N |
D |
N |
Leaning Trump |
|
29 |
Trump |
Yes |
| GA |
R |
R |
R |
N |
D |
R |
Leaning Trump |
|
16 |
Trump |
No |
| HI |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
4 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| IA |
R |
D |
R |
N |
R |
N |
Leaning Trump |
|
6 |
Trump |
Yes |
| ID |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
4 |
Trump |
Yes |
| IL |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
20 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| IN |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
11 |
Trump |
Yes |
| KS |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
6 |
Trump |
Yes |
| KY |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
8 |
Trump |
Yes |
| LA |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
8 |
Trump |
Yes |
| MA |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
11 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| MD |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
10 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| ME |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
4 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| MI |
R |
D |
R |
D |
D |
N |
Leaning Biden |
16 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| MN |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
10 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| MO |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
10 |
Trump |
Yes |
| MS |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
6 |
Trump |
Yes |
| MT |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
3 |
Trump |
Yes |
| NC |
R |
R |
R |
N |
D |
R |
Leaning Trump |
|
15 |
Trump |
Yes |
| ND |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
3 |
Trump |
Yes |
| NE |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
5 |
Trump |
Yes |
| NH |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
4 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| NJ |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
14 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| NM |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
5 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| NV |
R |
R |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Leaning Biden |
6 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| NY |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
29 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| OH |
R |
R |
R |
N |
R |
R |
Safe Trump |
|
18 |
Trump |
Yes |
| OK |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
7 |
Trump |
Yes |
| OR |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
7 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| PA |
D |
D |
R |
D |
D |
N |
Leaning Biden |
20 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| RI |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
4 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| SC |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
9 |
Trump |
Yes |
| SD |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
3 |
Trump |
Yes |
| TN |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
11 |
Trump |
Yes |
| TX |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
38 |
Trump |
Yes |
| UT |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
6 |
Trump |
Yes |
| VA |
D |
R |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Safe Biden |
13 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| VT |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
3 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| WA |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
D |
Strong Biden |
12 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| WI |
D |
D |
R |
D |
D |
R |
Leaning Biden |
10 |
|
Biden |
Yes |
| WV |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
5 |
Trump |
Yes |
| WY |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
R |
Strong Trump |
|
3 |
Trump |
Yes |
| NATIONAL |
|
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|
|
279 |
248 |
|
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| STATES |
Biden: 22 |
Trump: 27 |
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| UPSETS NEEDED FOR TRUMP |
Nevada, Michigan |
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| UPSETS NEEDED FOR BIDEN |
Florida, NC |
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