Projects
Updated April 19, 2024 at 08:27 PM
Polling Averages
Polling averages & Nowcasts for elections around the country. Updated daily.
Last Updated: 4/19/24, 7:19 PM
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2024 Election Models
Nowcasts/Forecasts for the 2024 U.S. elections.
Last Updated: 4/17/24, 9:02 AM
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MMSD Snowday Forecast
Snowday probabilities for MMSD using forecasted weather data. Updated daily.
Last Updated: 4/8/24, 8:34 AM
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Forensics & Debate Stats
Personal stats for my Forensics/Debate seasons.
Last Updated: 3/10/24, 4:22 PM
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How Accurate is HenryDRiley.com?
See the accuracy/skill of each project here.
Last Updated: 10/15/23, 5:53 PM
View ProjectPast Projects (No Longer Updated)
2024 Men's March Madness Forecast
View live odds and brackets for the 2024 NCAAM Tournament.
Last Updated: 4/10/24, 9:00 AM
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2023 Election Day Coverage
Live updates, projections, and forecasts of the 2023 general elections.
Last Updated: 11/8/23, 9:13 AM
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2023-24 Big 8 (WI) Football
Team ratings and matchup forecasts for all Big 8 teams, updated weekly.
Last Updated: 10/16/23, 10:11 AM
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2023 March Madness Picks
View my full bracket for the 2023 NCAAM Tournament Challenge.
Last Updated: 4/5/23, 8:34 PM
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2023 Wisconsin Election Night Live Coverage
Live commentary/projections for Decision Day: WI 2023.
Last Updated: 4/5/23, 8:30 PM
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2023 Wisconsin Election Night Live Forecast
Live probabilities for Decision Day: WI 2023.
Last Updated: 4/5/23, 8:02 PM
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2023 Wisconsin Election Predictions
Opinion-based predictions for local/state elections.
Last Updated: 3/28/23, 9:26 PM
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'22-23 Big 8 Boys Hockey Model
Live power ratings and game predictions for all Big Eight (WI) teams, updated after each game.
Last Updated: 3/9/23, 8:23 AM
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Wisconsin Spring '23 Primary Live Results
Live race projections and results for Wisconsin/Madison Spring 2023 primary elections.
Last Updated: 2/22/23, 8:25 AM
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2022 Midterms Review
Compare my predictions to actual results and FiveThirtyEight forecasts.
Last Updated: 2/3/23, 10:23 PM
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2022 U.S. Senate Forecast
Predictions for all 2022 U.S. Senate races.
Last Updated: 1/24/23, 11:39 AM
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2022 U.S. Senate Simulations
Simulations for the possible Senate makeups based on my race predictions.
Last Updated: 1/23/23, 10:07 AM
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2022 Georgia U.S. Senate Runoff
Predictions and results for the Walker-Warnock runoff.
Last Updated: 12/14/22, 11:52 PM
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2022 Gubernatorial Forecast
Predictions for all 2022 gubernatorial races.
Last Updated: 12/6/22, 11:04 PM
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2022 U.S. House Forecast
Predictions for competitive 2022 U.S. House races.
Last Updated: 12/5/22, 1:38 PM
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Middle School Basketball Ratings ('21-'22)
Madden-like player ratings meet middle-school recess basketball.
Last Updated: 5/8/22, 4:38 PM
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2020 Presidential Forecast
State electoral predictions for the 2020 presidential election.
Last Updated: 11/8/20, 10:24 AM
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2020 Senate Forecast
Predictions for all 2020 U.S. Senate races.
Last Updated: 11/8/20, 10:21 AM
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2020 Gubernatorial Forecast
Predictions for all 2020 gubernatorial races.
Last Updated: 11/3/20, 11:43 PM
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Investa Stock Contest
A stock-trading contest that I ran as a project shortly after the COVID lockdowns began.
Last Updated: 11/3/20, 11:43 PM
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