Election Models (2020 Presidential)

Methodology (How This Works)

State: Money Raised: Recent History: 2016: Expert Forecast: Polls: Congress: Forecast: Biden Electoral Votes: Trump Electoral Votes: Winner: Correct:
AK R R R R R R Strong Trump 3 Trump Yes
AL R R R R R R Strong Trump 9 Trump Yes
AR R R R R R R Strong Trump 6 Trump Yes
AZ R R R D D D Toss Up Biden Yes
CA D D D D D D Strong Biden 55 Biden Yes
CO D D D D D N Safe Biden 9 Biden Yes
CT D D D D D D Strong Biden 7 Biden Yes
DC N D D D D D Safe Biden 3 Biden Yes
DE D D D D D D Strong Biden 3 Biden Yes
FL R R R N D N Leaning Trump 29 Trump Yes
GA R R R N D R Leaning Trump 16 Trump No
HI D D D D D D Strong Biden 4 Biden Yes
IA R D R N R N Leaning Trump 6 Trump Yes
ID R R R R R R Strong Trump 4 Trump Yes
IL D D D D D D Strong Biden 20 Biden Yes
IN R R R R R R Strong Trump 11 Trump Yes
KS R R R R R R Strong Trump 6 Trump Yes
KY R R R R R R Strong Trump 8 Trump Yes
LA R R R R R R Strong Trump 8 Trump Yes
MA D D D D D D Strong Biden 11 Biden Yes
MD D D D D D D Strong Biden 10 Biden Yes
ME D D D D D D Strong Biden 4 Biden Yes
MI R D R D D N Leaning Biden 16 Biden Yes
MN D D D D D D Strong Biden 10 Biden Yes
MO R R R R R R Strong Trump 10 Trump Yes
MS R R R R R R Strong Trump 6 Trump Yes
MT R R R R R R Strong Trump 3 Trump Yes
NC R R R N D R Leaning Trump 15 Trump Yes
ND R R R R R R Strong Trump 3 Trump Yes
NE R R R R R R Strong Trump 5 Trump Yes
NH D D D D D D Strong Biden 4 Biden Yes
NJ D D D D D D Strong Biden 14 Biden Yes
NM D D D D D D Strong Biden 5 Biden Yes
NV R R D D D D Leaning Biden 6 Biden Yes
NY D D D D D D Strong Biden 29 Biden Yes
OH R R R N R R Safe Trump 18 Trump Yes
OK R R R R R R Strong Trump 7 Trump Yes
OR D D D D D D Strong Biden 7 Biden Yes
PA D D R D D N Leaning Biden 20 Biden Yes
RI D D D D D D Strong Biden 4 Biden Yes
SC R R R R R R Strong Trump 9 Trump Yes
SD R R R R R R Strong Trump 3 Trump Yes
TN R R R R R R Strong Trump 11 Trump Yes
TX R R R R R R Strong Trump 38 Trump Yes
UT R R R R R R Strong Trump 6 Trump Yes
VA D R D D D D Safe Biden 13 Biden Yes
VT D D D D D D Strong Biden 3 Biden Yes
WA D D D D D D Strong Biden 12 Biden Yes
WI D D R D D R Leaning Biden 10 Biden Yes
WV R R R R R R Strong Trump 5 Trump Yes
WY R R R R R R Strong Trump 3 Trump Yes
NATIONAL 279 248
STATES Biden: 22 Trump: 27
UPSETS NEEDED FOR TRUMP Nevada, Michigan
UPSETS NEEDED FOR BIDEN Florida, NC