---

Q (Question)

How good are Nikki Haley's chances in the Republican primary for 2024?

AG (Attention Getter)

The first female governor of South Carolina, The 29th ambassador to the United Nations on behalf of the U.S., and a chief executive for her state government. These are all roles that Nikki Haley can list on her presidential campaign resume for 2024.

Answer (Summary Of Speech)

Nikki Haley's chances are not very good for a successful primary campaign in 2044. This is because she is in a crowded field, her competitors are very relaxed about her being in the race, and she lacks strong support from the Republican party overall.

BG (Background)

Congress 6/28/2017: Nikki Haley was a member of Trump's presidential cabinet, the 29th Governor of South Carolina, and was a chief executive for South Carolina. During her successful tenure as governor, South Carolina's economy flourished and Haley had success as governor overall, particularly in the areas of job development/creation. As for the 2024 Presidential Election, it is shaping up to be a 2020 rematch between former-President Donald Trump and current President Joe Biden. It will be a tense, impactful election, and it is the first time a President will attempt to serve two non-consecutive terms in decades.

R1 (First Reason)

The GOP primary field for 2024 is too crowded. This ends up helping stronger, more established candidates like Donald Trump. As the AP 7/9/2022 explains, Donald Trump is still the most popular figure in the Republican Party. Regardless of the fact that he has faced two separate impeachments by the House of Representatives, his status in the party is still far ahead of others. He also showed in 2016 that even with his primary failures in Iowa, he was still able to secure the nomination and there is good reason to believe his support won't diminish in 2024 either. The precedent shows the he is capable of winning the primary, that he is most likely to win, and Republicans would be sidelined if he was not the nominee. Republicans view him as "the only viable option" (Alex Conant, GOP Strategist)

R2 (Second Reason)

Republican competition is generally relaxed about Nikki Haley entering the race, and not overly concerned about her performance. The Hill 1/31/2023: Donald Trump is clearly relaxed about Nikki Haley potentially opposing him in the fight for the Republican nomination for President. As Trump is the main challenger to Haley in the race, this is not a good sign for her chances of winning the primary. It also should be pointed out that Trump directly encouraged Haley to run and enter the race, and this makes sense. Trump benefitted from a crowded primary field in 2016, so going for a similar strategy of weeding through the competition one-by-one could be his advantage in 2024. Also, Haley doesn't receive nearly as much media attention as other Republicans, showing the party's lack of interest in her. according to The Hill, it's clear that Haley "doesn't stand a chance", especially given she is currently polling at 3% compared to Trump's 55%.

R3 (Third Reason)

The Republican Party clearly wants a Trump/DeSantis-type candidate. The Former President and Governor of Florida are clearly the two strongest Republican candidates, both in the polls and in terms of media attention. DeSantis is arguably a more ideal candidate for today's Republican Party, especially given his openly-extreme stances on issues key to GOP voters, and the fact that both Trump & DeSantis are far-right helps their case with voters. Both are also very theatrical & dramatic. Haley, on the other hand, is attempting to appear as a moderate candidate, who doesn't have striking controversies. While that might seem like the smarter choice, with the GOP Trump & DeSantis might be doing the right thing in their efforts. Also, compared to DeSantis & Trump, Haley's resume is lacking. She did not deal with the COVID-19 pandemic during her term, and both Trump & DeSantis were praised by their party for their strategies approaching the pandemic. Trump is also clearly mainly concerned with DeSantis potentially stealing the nomination, as The New York Times 11/8/2022 explains, he threatened to reveal personal information about DeSantis, showing how worried he is about the potential primary matchup. Meanwhile, Haley doesn't get the same attention.

C (Conclusion)

To summarize, Nikki Haley does not have good chances for the Republican primary in 2024 because she will likely be in a crowded field, her competition is more or less relaxed about her entering the race, and she lacks support from her party as a whole. In order to get the nomination, she would have to beat two well-known, popular, dynamic candidate. Trump will not stop in his fight for the nomination, and while their might be hope for Haley in a future presidential run, she simply doesn't have the traction needed for a 2024 win.