2023 Wisconsin Election Coverage

Analysis & Commentary

Refreshes every two minutes. Last Updated April 21, 2024 at 04:14 PM


Tuesday, April 4th, 2023:

COVERAGE ENDED
April 5, 2023 at 8:03 PM

With all races being determined, our coverage has been ended for this election. Our next election update, in addition to perhaps adding polling averages and other political projects, will be on May 16th or 17th, with the debut of my new 2023 Gubernatorial Forecast with Kentucky's race being the first featured.

How To Use This Feed
April 4, 2023 at 12:02 AM

Below you can see three different kinds of posts that will periodically appear on this page. The one that looks the most boring is just a generic text post, and will be used whenever I have some information to share. A "race projection" means I have determined that there is a winner, and you will see a snapshot of the current vote of when I call the race. A "race alert" will just be an update of a race, usually with some explainer text.

Race Projection
Madison Mayor
April 4, 2023 at 9:27 PM
Candidate A
Satya Rhodes-Conway 55,868 (54.9%)
Candidate B
Gloria Reyes 45,127 (44.4%)
Estimated vote: 85.3% reported
Race Projection
Supreme Court
April 4, 2023 at 9:20 PM
Candidate A
Janet Protasiewicz 709,060 (56.4%)
Candidate B
Daniel Kelly 547,356 (43.6%)
Estimated vote: 70% reported
Race Projection
School Board - Seat 6
April 4, 2023 at 9:19 PM
Candidate A
Blair Mosner Feltham 45,234 (55.4%)
Candidate B
Badri Lankella 35,512 (43.5%)
Estimated vote: 87% reported
Race Alert
Supreme Court
April 4, 2023 at 9:07 PM
Janet Protasiewicz
Janet Protasiewicz 641,965 (55.8%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported

THE AP HAS CALLED THE RACE FOR PROTASIEWICZ. At this time, I have not officially projected her to win.

City Council Data Won't Be Updated For Now
April 4, 2023 at 8:39 PM

Too hard for me to keep up, so will focus on city/statewide races for now.

First Results In
April 4, 2023 at 8:11 PM

We just got the first batch of results for school board elections. Others should come shortly.

NOW: POLLS CLOSED, FIRST PROJECTIONS OF THE NIGHT BELOW
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM

All unopposed races have been projected below. We should now see votes start to stream in from around the city & the state. Stay tuned.

Race Projection
Madison School Board - Seat 7
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM
Nicki Vander Meulen
Nicki Vander Meulen 0 (0%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported
Race Projection
Alder - District 1
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM
John W. Duncan
John W. Duncan 0 (0%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported
Race Projection
Alder - District 5
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM
Regina Vidaver
Regina Vidaver 0 (0%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported
Race Projection
Alder - District 7
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM
Nasra Wehelie
Nasra Wehelie 0 (0%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported
Race Projection
Alder - District 11
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM
Bill Tishler
Bill Tishler 0 (0%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported
Race Projection
Alder - District 13
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM
Tag Evers
Tag Evers 0 (0%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported
Race Projection
Alder - District 17
April 4, 2023 at 8:00 PM
Sabrina Madison
Sabrina Madison 0 (0%)
Estimated vote: 0% reported
Latest Madison Turnout Figures Indicate 38%
April 4, 2023 at 7:21 PM
POLLS CLOSE IN 1 HOUR
April 4, 2023 at 7:00 PM

We are just one hour away from getting results in statewide/city elections.

POLLS CLOSE IN 2 HOURS
April 4, 2023 at 6:00 PM

It is officially Election Night in Wisconsin, and polling places are set to close in 2 hours at 8 PM Central. They opened this morning at 7 AM. More updates to come.

Key Counties To Watch In Tonight's Supreme Court Race
April 4, 2023 at 2:06 PM

Tonight's Wisconsin Supreme Court Race may come down to a few key counties, most notably the ones with higher turnout. The area that could have the most weight is Milwaukee county and it's surronding counties, including the reliably red Waukesha County. Janet Protasiewicz will have much better chances if she is able to do better in Waukesha County and generate high turnout in Milwaukee or Dane County. In terms of counties that could be an early indicator for how the state as a whole will sway, that would come down to the following. The number below is the 2020 margin and then the 2022 margin. (an average of the Senate & Gubernatorial races)

County 2020 (Pres) 2022 (Gov/Senate) Change (2020-2022)
Green D +3.2 D +7.6 D+ 4.4
Kenosha R +3.2 R +2.95 D +0.25
Racine R +4.1 R +6.8 R +2.7
Columbia R +1.6 R +6.8 D +1.25
Sauk D +1.7 R +3.95 D +2.25
Winnebago R +3.9 R +3.5 D +0.4
Portage D +2.8 D +5.1 D +2.3
Door D +1.4 D +2.6 D +1.2
TRUMP IS UNDER ARREST
April 4, 2023 at 12:35 PM

Ahead of the first election since the former President's indictment, Donald Trump is in custody in NYC ahead of his arraignment.

10 HOURS UNTIL POLLS CLOSE
April 4, 2023 at 10:21 AM

Polls statewide close in ten hours at 8 PM Central.

WisDems' Ben Wikler reports huge turnout in Wisconsin Supreme Court Race
April 4, 2023 at 10:18 AM

WisDems Accuse Kelly Campaign Of Violating FCC Regulations In Text Message Ad
April 4, 2023 at 8:25 AM

Wisconsin Democrats have accused Daniel Kelly's campaign of violating FCC regulation and causing unnecessary concern in a text message ad sent out to voters. The ad mimicked that of an emergency announcement used for things like tornadoes on TV, and has been criticized for potentially misleading voters.

Severe Weather Possible For Southern Wisconsin: What To Know
April 4, 2023 at 8:19 AM

There is still a potential for severe weather, including hail, strong winds, or tornadoes across Wisconsin. However, if any polling places were required to close due to severe conditions, a judge would likely grant an order extending voting hours to the next day if needed.

POLLS CLOSE IN 12 HOURS
April 4, 2023 at 8:12 AM

It is officially Election Day in Wisconsin, and polling places are set to close in 12 hours at 8 PM Central. They opened this morning at 7 AM. More updates to come.


Monday, April 3rd, 2023:

Coverage Begins!
April 3, 2023 at 7:37 PM

My live coverage of Decision Day: Wisconsin 2023 has begun! Follow this page, as well as the live results/projections linked at the top of this feed to stay up to date on election news! This page will begin populating with information tomorrow as we learn more. More recent posts will always be at the top of the feed so you get the latest news first.