Projects

Updated February 28, 2024 at 08:24 AM



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Polling Averages

Polling Averages & Nowcasts for elections around the country. Updated daily.

Last Updated: 2/28/24, 8:21 AM

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MMSD Snowday Forecast

Snowday probabilities for MMSD using forecasted weather data. Updated daily.

Last Updated: 2/28/24, 8:15 AM

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Forensics & Debate Stats

Personal stats for my Forensics/Debate seasons.

Last Updated: 1/17/24, 9:27 PM

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How Accurate is HenryDRiley.com?

See the accuracy/skill of each project here.

Last Updated: 10/15/23, 5:53 PM

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Past Projects (No Longer Updated)


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2023 Election Day Coverage

Live updates, projections, and forecasts of the 2023 general elections.

Last Updated: 11/8/23, 9:13 AM

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2023-24 Big 8 (WI) Football

Team ratings and matchup forecasts for all Big 8 teams, updated weekly.

Last Updated: 10/16/23, 10:11 AM

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2023 March Madness Picks

View my full bracket for the 2023 NCAAM Tournament Challenge.

Last Updated: 4/5/23, 8:34 PM

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2023 Wisconsin Election Night Live Coverage

Live commentary/projections for Decision Day: WI 2023.

Last Updated: 4/5/23, 8:30 PM

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2023 Wisconsin Election Night Live Forecast

Live probabilities for Decision Day: WI 2023.

Last Updated: 4/5/23, 8:02 PM

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2023 Wisconsin Election Predictions

Opinion-based predictions for local/state elections.

Last Updated: 3/28/23, 9:26 PM

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Calculators

Random assortment of basic calculators.

Last Updated: 3/16/23, 9:23 PM

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'22-23 Big 8 Boys Hockey Model

Live power ratings and game predictions for all Big Eight (WI) teams, updated after each game.

Last Updated: 3/9/23, 8:23 AM

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Wisconsin Spring '23 Primary Live Results

Live race projections and results for Wisconsin/Madison Spring 2023 primary elections.

Last Updated: 2/22/23, 8:25 AM

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2022 Midterms Review

Compare my predictions to actual results and FiveThirtyEight forecasts.

Last Updated: 2/3/23, 10:23 PM

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2022 U.S. Senate Forecast

Predictions for all 2022 U.S. Senate races.

Last Updated: 1/24/23, 11:39 AM

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2022 U.S. Senate Simulations

Simulations for the possible Senate makeups based on my race predictions.

Last Updated: 1/23/23, 10:07 AM

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2022 Georgia U.S. Senate Runoff

Predictions and results for the Walker-Warnock runoff.

Last Updated: 12/14/22, 11:52 PM

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2022 Gubernatorial Forecast

Predictions for all 2022 gubernatorial races.

Last Updated: 12/6/22, 11:04 PM

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2022 U.S. House Forecast

Predictions for competitive 2022 U.S. House races.

Last Updated: 12/5/22, 1:38 PM

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Middle School Basketball Ratings ('21-'22)

Madden-like player ratings meet middle-school recess basketball.

Last Updated: 5/8/22, 4:38 PM

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2020 Presidential Forecast

State electoral predictions for the 2020 presidential election.

Last Updated: 11/8/20, 10:24 AM

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2020 Senate Forecast

Predictions for all 2020 U.S. Senate races.

Last Updated: 11/8/20, 10:21 AM

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2020 Gubernatorial Forecast

Predictions for all 2020 gubernatorial races.

Last Updated: 11/3/20, 11:43 PM

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Investa Stock Contest

A stock-trading contest that I ran as a project shortly after the COVID lockdowns began.

Last Updated: 11/3/20, 11:43 PM

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